← Indonesia Grand Archive Phantom Monarch Regionals
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Indonesia Grand Archive Phantom Monarch Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.3% | -14.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 29.6% | -19.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 4.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.7% | -7.0 |
| Water Fractal | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.2% | -17.2 |
| Fire Suited | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Slimes | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.3 |
| Water Genbu | 3.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -5.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Wind Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Wind Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 13 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 13 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nocturne's Oblivion | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |