Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at PTM Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 24.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.0% | -16.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.4% | +4.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.2% | -10.3 |
| Fire Suited | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.5% | -4.3 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.8% | +4.4 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.5% | +11.1 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 20 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orb of Sealing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Insignia of the Corhazi | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Return to the Archive | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stolen Chance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prismspire Scepter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Waited Accord | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wisdom's Reprise | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tabula of Salvage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Juggle Knives | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |