Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at PTM Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 16.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 59.2% | +6.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 59.3% | +6.9 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.4 |
| Fire Suited | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +7.0 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.2% | -6.6 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.1% | +11.7 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.0% | +3.8 |
| Wind Byakko | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +2.3 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 62.8% | +9.5 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Aesan Protector, Forest Cake, Brisk Windtrotter. Losers more often ran: Beseech the Winds, Dream Fairy, Scatter Essence.
Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 26 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Displace | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Lost Providence | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Trained Hawk | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ducal Seal | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Royal Oathguard | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Illuminate Secrets | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stolen Chance | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rictus Tiding | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |