← Tabletop Village Store Championship PTM
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Tabletop Village Store Championship PTM.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 70.0% | 43.2% | 56.7% | 48.9% | 1471 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 11.8% | 11 | 59.1% | 54.6% | 55.0% | 52.7% | 1301 | — |
| 3 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 60.0% | 64.7% | 54.3% | 56.1% | 1298 | — |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 5.9% | 7 | 71.4% | 60.7% | 53.5% | 52.2% | 1331 | — |
| 5 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 50.0% | 44.6% | 52.5% | 50.0% | 1436 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Genbu | 1 | 5.9% | 7 | 50.0% | 46.0% | 52.1% | 50.8% | 1438 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 60.0% | 51.6% | 51.4% | 49.8% | 1341 | — |
| 8 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 11.8% | 9 | 55.6% | 52.3% | 49.3% | 48.6% | 1375 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 11.8% | 8 | 37.5% | 53.6% | 46.7% | 49.7% | 1200 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Fractal | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 40.0% | 37.4% | 46.2% | 43.4% | 1327 | — |
| 11 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 25.0% | 45.5% | 46.0% | 49.5% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 3 | 17.6% | 11 | 27.3% | 43.2% | 45.3% | 48.9% | 1212 | ↓ low |