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Wind Astra ClericTier 2

at 貓腳印雄二店 Store Championship

decks
2 (6.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.6% avg ELO -9.3 per match
expected value
43.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1282 · median 1282 · range 1261–1303 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1116 Q1 1230 Q3 1394 1523
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Lorraine 12.9% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 47.7% -2.2
Fire Oblation 12.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.3% -18.7
Wind Wakeup Combo 12.9% 0
Fire Aggro 9.7% 0
Fire Umbra Alice 6.5% 0
Water Aetherwing 6.5% 0
Water Allies 6.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.0% -9.5
Fire Arcane 3.2% 0
Fire Exia 3.2% 0
Fire Suited 3.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.9% -12.9
Fire Suzaku 3.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.6% -10.2
Water Crux Assassin 3.2% 0
Water Genbu 3.2% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 3.2% 0
Wind Seiryuu 3.2% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 3.2% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 21 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Orb of Sealing -1.00 0 1 0
Calming Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Scout the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Astral Seal -1.00 0 1 0
Heavenly Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Spellshield: Astra -1.00 0 1 0
Topsy Decree -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Lost Providence +1.00 1 0 0
Orbiting Cosmos +1.00 1 0 0
Tend the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Crystallized Destiny +1.00 1 0 0
Meteor Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 1 0 0
Regenerate -1.00 0 1 0
Prima Materia +1.00 1 0 0
Quicksilver Grail -1.00 0 1 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Nascent Barrier +1.00 1 0 0
Lunar Seer +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/41886/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric