← Shuffle Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Shuffle Phantom Monarchs Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Fractal | 1 | 5.9% | 7 | 64.3% | 64.1% | 57.6% | 59.0% | 1333 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Allies | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 60.0% | 58.1% | 57.3% | 57.7% | 1249 | — |
| 3 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 5.9% | 7 | 57.1% | 46.5% | 56.3% | 52.9% | 1309 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 11.8% | 12 | 66.7% | 54.9% | 54.8% | 51.8% | 1254 | — |
| 5 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 58.3% | 63.0% | 54.4% | 57.5% | 1214 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 50.0% | 46.4% | 52.4% | 51.0% | 1224 | — |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 5 | 29.4% | 21 | 38.1% | 39.7% | 48.8% | 48.3% | 1267 | — |
| 8 | Fire Exia | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 60.0% | 60.9% | 48.7% | 51.4% | 1224 | — |
| 9 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 11.8% | 7 | 42.9% | 50.0% | 42.7% | 45.6% | 1301 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 11.8% | 7 | 21.4% | 31.2% | 38.8% | 39.4% | 1208 | ↓ low |