Horse and TaxesTier 2
at Card's Village Store champ
decks
1
(3.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.4%
avg ELO -6.1 per match
expected value
51.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1386
· median 1386
· range 1386–1386
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1220
Q1 1230
Q3 1378
1730
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.2% | -22.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -5.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.7% | -21.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
