Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Card's Village Store champ
decks
3
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
12-5-1
overall winrate
69.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.4%
avg ELO +2.1 per match
expected value
52.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1397
· median 1238
· range 1222–1730
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1220
Q1 1230
Q3 1378
1730
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.6% | -9.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.4% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 52.9% | +2.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.6% | +8.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Fire Suited | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 38.4% | -11.1 |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.4 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.2% | +24.4 |
