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Wind Crux LorraineTier 1

at Card's Village Store champ

decks
2 (7.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10 5-3-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
69.0% avg ELO +8.5 per match
expected value
52.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1313 · median 1313 · range 1237–1390 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1220 Q1 1230 Q3 1378 1730
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 11.1% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 65.4% +14.8
Wind Seiryuu 11.1% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 47.1% -2.1
Fire Firebloom Burn 7.4% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 54.2% +4.0
Fire Luxem Assassin 7.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 65.4% +24.7
Water Ravishing Mill 7.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.3% +10.0
Fire Aggro 3.7% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.1% +19.3
Fire Slimes 3.7% 0
Fire Suited 3.7% 0
Fire Suzaku 3.7% 0
Fire Tera Silvie 3.7% 0
Horse and Taxes 3.7% 0
Water Aetherwing 3.7% 0
Water Allies 3.7% 0
Water Astra Diana 3.7% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 3.7% 0
Water Wind Vanitas 3.7% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 3.7% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.7% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 32 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Calming Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin +1.00 1 0 0
Spirit Blade: Dispersion +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Lorraine, Spirit Ruler +1.00 1 0 0
Heavenly Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Spirit Blade: Ensoul -1.00 0 1 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Hurricane Sweep -1.00 0 1 0
Unmake Duality -1.00 0 1 0
Sudden Steel -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers -1.00 0 1 0
Vorpal Sword +1.00 1 0 0
Votive Runeblade -1.00 0 1 0
Escape the Wreckage -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition +1.00 1 0 0
Lorraine, Crux Knight -1.00 0 1 0
Topsy Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Banner Knight +1.00 1 0 0
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Scout the Land -1.00 0 1 0
Stolen Chance -1.00 0 1 0
Fluffy Shopkeep -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 1 0
Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar +1.00 1 0 0
Four of Spades +1.00 1 0 0
Break Apart +1.00 1 0 0
Brisk Windtrotter -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/41948/archetypes/Wind Crux Lorraine