2025/12/28 RiRiCO 店冠賽

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	4	23.5%	9-5-2	62.5%	55.4%	54.7%	53.3%	1391	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	3	17.6%	1-9-1	13.6%	33.4%	40.5%	44.0%	1319	↓ low
3		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	2	11.8%	3-5-2	40.0%	40.4%	46.6%	46.2%	1465	↑ top
4		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	11.8%	4-4-0	50.0%	42.5%	53.5%	49.4%	1442	—
5		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	5.9%	0-4-0	0.0%	36.1%	30.9%	38.7%	1284	↓ low
6		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	5.9%	3-2-0	60.0%	44.7%	52.5%	48.7%	1618	↑ top
7		Fire Umbra Alice	Tier 1	1	5.9%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.0%	50.0%	51.0%	1267	↓ low
8		Horse and Taxes	Tier 1	1	5.9%	4-0-1	90.0%	74.6%	58.3%	59.4%	1428	—
9		Water Genbu	Tier 1	1	5.9%	4-1-1	75.0%	71.0%	57.0%	59.5%	1132	↓ low
10		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	5.9%	2-2-0	50.0%	53.1%	56.0%	56.6%	1340	—
11		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	5.9%	3-1-1	70.0%	56.9%	53.7%	51.2%	1429	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Oblation 4 decks · 23.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 17.6%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 11.8%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 11.8%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 5.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 5.9%
• Fire Umbra Alice 1 deck · 5.9%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 5.9%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 5.9%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 5.9%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 5.9%