← 1Collectibles PTM Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at 1Collectibles PTM Store Championship
decks
2
(5.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-3-0
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.0%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1350
· median 1350
· range 1265–1434
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1241
Q3 1407
1539
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 12.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Wind Arcane | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 72.3% | +21.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Water Genbu | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +6.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.3% | -18.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.9 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
