← 1Collectibles PTM Store Championship
Fire Umbra AliceTier 2
at 1Collectibles PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-4-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
15.4%
avg ELO -22.1 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
36.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1492
· median 1492
· range 1492–1492
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1241
Q3 1407
1539
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 12.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.2% | -23.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.1% | -20.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.3% | -22.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.1% | -22.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Alice decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
