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Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at 1Collectibles PTM Store Championship
decks
2
(5.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
2-6-1
overall winrate
27.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.8%
avg ELO -5.2 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1178
· median 1178
· range 1091–1266
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1241
Q3 1407
1539
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 12.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.1% | -10.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.6 |
| Fire Suited | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.9% | +22.3 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.3% | -18.8 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.0 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
