← Games Haven BBK PTM Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Games Haven BBK PTM Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 7 | 19.4% | 28 | 67.9% | 55.7% | 58.1% | 54.6% | 1411 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 11.1% | 18 | 72.2% | 54.2% | 57.6% | 52.9% | 1401 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 2.8% | 8 | 75.0% | 79.1% | 57.5% | 63.5% | 1291 | — |
| 4 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 2.8% | 6 | 66.7% | 59.0% | 54.7% | 52.7% | 1409 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 5.6% | 13 | 65.4% | 49.5% | 54.2% | 50.3% | 1332 | — |
| 6 | Fire Aetherwing | 2 | 5.6% | 10 | 40.0% | 53.2% | 49.4% | 53.1% | 1166 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 5.6% | 9 | 44.4% | 41.6% | 47.4% | 45.4% | 1236 | — |
| 8 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 2.8% | 5 | 50.0% | 57.7% | 47.1% | 50.6% | 1214 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 5.6% | 10 | 40.0% | 54.8% | 47.0% | 52.7% | 1204 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Fractal | 1 | 2.8% | 5 | 40.0% | 40.4% | 44.6% | 44.2% | 1281 | — |
| 11 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 2.8% | 5 | 20.0% | 46.8% | 44.6% | 50.7% | 1129 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 2.8% | 4 | 25.0% | 47.3% | 42.9% | 48.2% | 1148 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 3 | 8.3% | 15 | 46.7% | 45.2% | 41.8% | 44.2% | 1289 | — |
| 14 | Wind Allies | 2 | 5.6% | 9 | 16.7% | 38.9% | 41.2% | 46.9% | 1132 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Water Genbu | 1 | 2.8% | 5 | 30.0% | 51.0% | 40.8% | 48.9% | 1118 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Neos | 1 | 2.8% | 1 | 0.0% | 44.3% | 40.0% | 44.3% | 1047 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Aggro | 4 | 11.1% | 17 | 29.4% | 31.5% | 39.5% | 40.7% | 1297 | — |