ACMETCG Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	3	18.8%	5-4-0	55.6%	48.3%	55.4%	52.5%	1238	—
2		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	3	18.8%	5-5-0	50.0%	42.6%	48.0%	46.0%	1292	↑ top
3		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	12.5%	4-3-1	56.2%	54.6%	49.1%	51.3%	1270	—
4		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	1	6.2%	2-2-0	50.0%	52.9%	52.9%	54.2%	1094	↓ low
5		Fire Umbra Alice	Tier 2	1	6.2%	0-3-0	0.0%	40.5%	36.0%	44.0%	1068	↓ low
6		Horse and Taxes	Tier 1	1	6.2%	1-1-0	50.0%	43.0%	50.0%	45.8%	1460	↑ top
7		Water Chess	Tier 2	1	6.2%	1-2-1	37.5%	42.5%	44.3%	44.3%	1277	—
8		Water Genbu	Tier 1	1	6.2%	3-1-0	75.0%	66.0%	51.4%	53.5%	1328	↑ top
9		Water Umbra Alice	Tier 2	1	6.2%	0-3-1	12.5%	35.7%	42.9%	45.2%	1088	↓ low
10		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	6.2%	1-2-1	37.5%	51.7%	46.0%	49.3%	1104	↓ low
11		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 1	1	6.2%	4-0-0	100.0%	73.4%	66.7%	65.6%	1320	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 18.8%
• Fire Oblation 3 decks · 18.8%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 6.2%
• Fire Umbra Alice 1 deck · 6.2%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 6.2%
• Water Chess 1 deck · 6.2%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 6.2%
• Water Umbra Alice 1 deck · 6.2%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 6.2%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 6.2%