Wind Luxem AssassinTier 1
at PTM Regionals
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-4-2
overall winrate
54.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.3%
avg ELO +3.6 per match
expected value
51.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1214
· median 1214
· range 1145–1282
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1164
Q3 1404
1558
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 9.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.9% | -7.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.7 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.5 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +0.9 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
