PTM Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	3	9.4%	9-8-1	52.8%	58.2%	50.9%	53.3%	1284	—
2		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	3	9.4%	12-2-2	81.2%	68.4%	59.5%	56.6%	1442	↑ top
3		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	3	9.4%	5-10-2	35.3%	38.3%	44.2%	44.3%	1222	↓ low
4		Water Fractal	Tier 2	2	6.2%	4-5-0	44.4%	40.8%	48.8%	47.0%	1391	↑ top
5		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	2	6.2%	3-7-0	30.0%	34.4%	45.2%	43.9%	1268	—
6		Wind Allies	Tier 2	2	6.2%	2-5-0	28.6%	48.5%	46.2%	50.2%	1109	↓ low
7		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	6.2%	5-4-2	54.5%	58.3%	51.5%	52.8%	1214	↓ low
8		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 1	2	6.2%	7-5-0	58.3%	53.9%	52.3%	52.0%	1317	—
9		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	2	6.2%	6-6-0	50.0%	54.8%	48.6%	50.0%	1265	—
10		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	51.8%	45.6%	50.2%	1173	↓ low
11		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	51.9%	45.7%	50.2%	1091	↓ low
12		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-1	58.3%	48.8%	50.0%	47.8%	1393	↑ top
13		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-1	58.3%	41.4%	51.8%	46.6%	1558	↑ top
14		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-3-2	20.0%	35.4%	42.1%	43.5%	1122	↓ low
15		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	34.2%	46.7%	46.5%	1168	↓ low
16		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-2-0	66.7%	56.9%	54.4%	53.3%	1408	↑ top
17		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	43.6%	47.3%	44.7%	1408	↑ top
18		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-1-1	75.0%	63.7%	56.1%	55.1%	1402	↑ top
19		Wind Neos	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-2-1	16.7%	48.3%	38.9%	47.7%	1093	↓ low
20		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-1-1	75.0%	49.8%	58.3%	50.3%	1542	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Firebloom Burn 3 decks · 9.4%
• Water Aetherwing 3 decks · 9.4%
• Wind Seiryuu 3 decks · 9.4%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 6.2%
• Water Ravishing Mill 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 3.1%