Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at 漫果子大直店1/11 PTM店冠賽
decks
2
(5.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
3-7-0
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.7%
avg ELO -6.9 per match
expected value
41.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1331
· median 1331
· range 1223–1438
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1264
Q3 1439
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.7% | -13.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 11.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.1% | -23.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.6 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
