GuildHall PTM Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	3	13.6%	7-7-1	50.0%	56.8%	49.1%	51.9%	1200	—
2		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	2	9.1%	6-3-1	65.0%	69.3%	53.5%	57.6%	1283	—
3		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	9.1%	9-3-0	75.0%	55.3%	58.5%	52.3%	1432	↑ top
4		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	9.1%	1-5-1	21.4%	35.0%	42.2%	42.7%	1255	—
5		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	4.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	43.6%	43.8%	44.4%	1350	↑ top
6		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	4.5%	3-2-0	60.0%	60.6%	48.6%	51.1%	1264	—
7		Fire Exia	Tier 1	1	4.5%	1-1-1	50.0%	48.7%	50.0%	49.4%	1218	—
8		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	4.5%	1-3-0	25.0%	43.4%	45.0%	47.4%	1032	↓ low
9		Fire Neos	Tier 2	1	4.5%	0-4-0	0.0%	34.4%	36.0%	40.7%	1047	↓ low
10		Water Astra Diana	Tier 2	1	4.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	45.0%	46.7%	47.7%	1164	↓ low
11		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 2	1	4.5%	1-4-0	20.0%	34.6%	44.0%	44.4%	1203	—
12		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	4.5%	3-2-0	60.0%	48.6%	51.4%	49.6%	1285	—
13		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	4.5%	0-1-1	25.0%	40.7%	46.0%	44.4%	1247	—
14		Wind Jin	Tier 1	1	4.5%	2-2-1	50.0%	51.6%	50.0%	50.6%	1225	—
15		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	4.5%	5-2-0	71.4%	51.1%	57.8%	51.1%	1383	↑ top
16		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	4.5%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.8%	51.7%	49.5%	1242	—
17		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	4.5%	3-2-0	60.0%	53.5%	50.0%	49.2%	1232	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 13.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 9.1%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 9.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 9.1%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 4.5%
• Water Astra Diana 1 deck · 4.5%
• Water Crux Assassin 1 deck · 4.5%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 4.5%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 4.5%
• Wind Jin 1 deck · 4.5%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 4.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 4.5%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 4.5%