← Happyland Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Happyland Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 13.6% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 45.5% | -2.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.2% | +2.4 |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.5% | -4.3 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -3.4 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.4% | -21.7 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 11 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 11 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lost Providence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |