Fire Crux MageTier 1
at ZARC PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
4-1-0
overall winrate
80.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.3%
avg ELO +1.9 per match
expected value
62.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1430
· median 1430
· range 1430–1430
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1038
Q1 1168
Q3 1330
1468
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 14.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.5% | +7.2 |
| Slimes | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.4% | +6.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
