Fire Tera Diao ChanTier 2
at ZARC PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
20.7%
avg ELO -16.9 per match
expected value
42.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
37.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1346
· median 1346
· range 1346–1346
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1038
Q1 1168
Q3 1330
1468
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.5% | -23.3 |
| Slimes | 9.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.1% | -9.5 |
| Water Fractal | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.0% | -20.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.6% | -21.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Tera Diao Chan decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
