Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Fun4 PTM Store Championship
decks
2
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
0-6-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
17.2%
avg ELO -17.5 per match
expected value
38.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
35.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1214
· median 1214
· range 1205–1223
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
945
Q1 1195
Q3 1337
1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.9% | -22.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 29.2% | -20.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -10.0 |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.1% | -22.2 |
| Wind Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
