Fire Crux MageTier 1
at GOAT PTM Store Championship
decks
3
(12.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
7-5-0
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.9%
avg ELO +2.5 per match
expected value
54.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1314
· median 1346
· range 1245–1350
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
949
Q1 1216
Q3 1378
1492
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.0% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 66.4% | +10.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.7 |
| Wind Allies | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
