J & J Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	2	18.2%	0-5-0	0.0%	33.3%	40.0%	44.0%	1153	↓ low
2		Horse and Taxes	Tier 1	2	18.2%	5-2-3	65.0%	55.1%	55.2%	52.4%	1311	—
3		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	18.2%	4-3-1	56.2%	50.4%	51.1%	50.0%	1406	↑ top
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	18.2%	2-2-3	50.0%	48.0%	50.8%	49.9%	1258	—
5		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	46.5%	46.7%	48.5%	1292	—
6		Water Genbu	Tier 1	1	9.1%	2-1-2	60.0%	57.2%	52.9%	53.5%	1262	—
7		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	1	9.1%	2-1-2	60.0%	57.2%	52.9%	53.5%	1262	—
8		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	9.1%	1-1-1	50.0%	48.5%	50.0%	49.3%	1313	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 18.2%
• Horse and Taxes 2 decks · 18.2%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 18.2%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 18.2%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 9.1%