← MainPhase Phantom Monarchs - Store Championships
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at MainPhase Phantom Monarchs - Store Championships
decks
2
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-4-2
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.7%
avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
50.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1336
· median 1336
· range 1280–1392
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
936
Q1 1172
Q3 1357
1630
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 10.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.2% | -4.6 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.4% | +12.9 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.3% | -6.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Fire Suited | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Tamer | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Nico | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
