← MainPhase Phantom Monarchs - Store Championships
Horse and TaxesTier 1
at MainPhase Phantom Monarchs - Store Championships
decks
2
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
8-3-1
overall winrate
70.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.9%
avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
51.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1470
· median 1470
· range 1445–1496
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
936
Q1 1172
Q3 1357
1630
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 10.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 37.3% | -12.2 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -17.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Fire Suited | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Water Genbu | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.3 |
| Water Tera Tamer | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Nico | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Horse and Taxes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
