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Wind SeiryuuTier 1
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 10.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.0% | -22.4 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.9% | +14.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.8% | +4.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 62.7% | +12.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.2% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 48.4% | -1.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +5.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.5% | -15.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.7% | +10.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 69.6% | +18.8 |
| Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.6 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Tamer | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.4 |
| Wind Nico | 2.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.8% | -9.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 16 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 16 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |