Fire KongmingTier 2
at Outpost Ghent | Regional
decks
1
(3.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-4-1
overall winrate
10.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.2%
avg ELO -10.2 per match
expected value
40.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1105
· median 1105
· range 1105–1105
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1028
Q1 1180
Q3 1418
1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.0% | -10.6 |
| Slimes | 6.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Tamer | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Kongming decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
