SlimesTier 2
at Outpost Ghent | Regional
decks
2
(6.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
0-11-1
overall winrate
4.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
23.7%
avg ELO -11.2 per match
expected value
35.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1058
· median 1058
· range 1028–1088
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1028
Q1 1180
Q3 1418
1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.1% | -12.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 37.8% | -9.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 3.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.4% | -10.1 |
| Water Genbu | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Tamer | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.3 |
| Water Umbra Alice | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
