Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Outpost Ghent | Regional
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.5% | +0.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 38.1% | -11.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.1% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 62.2% | +9.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.1% | -9.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.5% | +12.0 |
| Fire Kongming | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.0% | -5.7 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Tamer | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 32 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calming Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Undeniable Truth | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Purifying Thurible | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unmake Duality | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |