← Whimsy PTM Store Championship
Water Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Whimsy PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(3.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.0%
avg ELO -3.8 per match
expected value
53.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1467
· median 1467
· range 1467–1467
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1072
Q1 1221
Q3 1448
1642
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.9% | -22.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +5.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.8% | -22.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
