← Whimsy PTM Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Whimsy PTM Store Championship
decks
5
(15.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
26
12-11-3
overall winrate
51.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
52.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1339
· median 1365
· range 1182–1487
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1072
Q1 1221
Q3 1448
1642
40% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
40% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.2% | -3.7 |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.9% | -5.3 |
| Wind Allies | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.6% | +13.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 3 | 1-0-2 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.7% | +4.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -1.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.5% | +3.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.0% | +7.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.3% | -10.2 |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.5% | -20.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.5 |
| Water Umbra Alice | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
