← Gaming Giant ALC Regional Championships
Fire Umbra RangerTier 1
at Gaming Giant ALC Regional Championships
decks
2
(8.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-3-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.7%
avg ELO +3.4 per match
expected value
51.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1276
· median 1276
· range 1247–1305
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1165
Q3 1345
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 13.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.5 |
| Water Allies | 13.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.1% | +4.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 13.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Erupting | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Wind Allies | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 4.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
