← Gaming Giant ALC Regional Championships
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Gaming Giant ALC Regional Championships
decks
2
(8.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-5-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.4%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
49.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1222
· median 1222
· range 1105–1340
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1165
Q3 1345
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 13.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Water Allies | 13.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 13.0% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 33.9% | -12.1 |
| Fire Erupting | 8.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.3% | -3.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Fire Neos | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
