← 3/14/2026 [TCG] League PTM NA Online Grand Archive Regional #2
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 3/14/2026 [TCG] League PTM NA Online Grand Archive Regional #2.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 4 | 4.9% | 16 | 62.5% | 60.2% | 55.9% | 54.6% | 1279 | ↓ low |
| 2 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.2% | 7 | 78.6% | 60.1% | 55.6% | 53.4% | 1388 | — |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 5 | 6.2% | 33 | 60.6% | 52.6% | 53.0% | 50.9% | 1397 | — |
| 4 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 1.2% | 7 | 57.1% | 54.1% | 52.1% | 51.6% | 1369 | — |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 3.7% | 19 | 63.2% | 52.0% | 52.0% | 50.0% | 1412 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 5 | 6.2% | 30 | 63.3% | 52.7% | 51.7% | 50.0% | 1414 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Astra Cleric | 3 | 3.7% | 19 | 55.3% | 52.1% | 51.1% | 51.0% | 1391 | — |
| 8 | Fire Crux Merlin | 1 | 1.2% | 6 | 50.0% | 46.8% | 51.0% | 49.1% | 1527 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 7 | 8.6% | 37 | 55.4% | 50.3% | 50.9% | 49.8% | 1389 | — |
| 10 | Wind Seiryuu | 3 | 3.7% | 16 | 53.1% | 46.9% | 50.2% | 48.8% | 1427 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 3 | 3.7% | 21 | 54.8% | 51.8% | 50.1% | 50.2% | 1373 | — |
| 12 | Water Aetherwing | 8 | 9.9% | 43 | 50.0% | 50.7% | 49.8% | 50.2% | 1361 | — |
| 13 | Fire Ravishing Mill | 1 | 1.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 49.5% | 49.5% | 50.8% | 1266 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Astra Ranger | 2 | 2.5% | 9 | 44.4% | 50.5% | 49.3% | 50.2% | 1254 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 3 | 3.7% | 19 | 55.3% | 51.9% | 49.3% | 49.6% | 1395 | — |
| 16 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 3 | 3.7% | 18 | 50.0% | 47.1% | 49.0% | 48.6% | 1376 | — |
| 17 | Wind Byakko | 2 | 2.5% | 9 | 55.6% | 52.1% | 48.7% | 49.6% | 1324 | — |
| 18 | Water Fractal | 6 | 7.4% | 31 | 46.8% | 51.0% | 48.6% | 50.2% | 1310 | — |
| 19 | Wind Chess | 1 | 1.2% | 6 | 33.3% | 46.9% | 48.0% | 49.4% | 1171 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Water Allies | 3 | 3.7% | 22 | 52.3% | 48.1% | 47.6% | 48.4% | 1392 | — |
| 21 | Wind Exia | 1 | 1.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 46.7% | 47.5% | 48.5% | 1415 | ↑ top |
| 22 | Horse and Taxes | 2 | 2.5% | 9 | 44.4% | 51.4% | 47.1% | 49.6% | 1242 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Water Tristan | 1 | 1.2% | 2 | 25.0% | 50.7% | 46.7% | 51.1% | 1100 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 1.2% | 7 | 42.9% | 42.2% | 46.4% | 46.7% | 1374 | — |
| 25 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 1.2% | 6 | 25.0% | 42.4% | 44.7% | 47.6% | 1508 | ↑ top |
| 26 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 1.2% | 7 | 21.4% | 49.8% | 43.0% | 49.3% | 1115 | ↓ low |
| 27 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 2.5% | 7 | 28.6% | 48.4% | 42.9% | 48.7% | 1229 | ↓ low |
| 28 | Water Crux Mage | 2 | 2.5% | 5 | 10.0% | 40.5% | 41.7% | 46.3% | 1410 | ↑ top |
| 29 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 1.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.8% | 41.3% | 44.5% | 1468 | ↑ top |
| 30 | Fire Umbra Alice | 1 | 1.2% | 5 | 10.0% | 44.4% | 41.1% | 47.6% | 1170 | ↓ low |
| 31 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 1.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 43.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | 1143 | ↓ low |
| 32 | Fire Tera Mage | 1 | 1.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 41.1% | 40.0% | 45.7% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 33 | Water Byakko | 1 | 1.2% | 2 | 0.0% | 43.7% | 40.0% | 46.2% | 1444 | ↑ top |
| 34 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 1.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 44.0% | 40.0% | 47.3% | 1076 | ↓ low |