HP WolvesDen - PTM Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	5	15.6%	4-10-2	31.2%	41.6%	46.0%	48.2%	1196	↓ low
2		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	4	12.5%	11-2-1	82.1%	62.7%	56.9%	52.4%	1467	↑ top
3		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	6.2%	3-5-0	37.5%	38.9%	48.0%	46.9%	1286	—
4		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	6.2%	5-4-0	55.6%	52.2%	54.6%	54.8%	1452	↑ top
5		Wind Allies	Tier 2	2	6.2%	0-4-1	10.0%	41.3%	40.7%	46.6%	1117	↓ low
6		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	2	6.2%	2-4-0	33.3%	40.3%	47.0%	46.6%	1247	↓ low
7		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-1-0	75.0%	58.6%	59.2%	56.1%	1280	—
8		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	63.8%	48.9%	52.7%	1352	—
9		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-3-1	30.0%	36.1%	49.2%	46.8%	1267	—
10		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	41.8%	50.0%	49.2%	1256	—
11		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	63.9%	48.9%	54.7%	1164	↓ low
12		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	57.9%	50.0%	55.6%	1316	—
13		Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-2-1	37.5%	47.7%	44.4%	47.1%	1269	—
14		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	3.1%	5-0-0	100.0%	58.9%	61.7%	53.6%	1630	↑ top
15		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.8%	47.1%	47.3%	1269	—
16		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	54.7%	46.2%	49.5%	1341	—
17		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	42.8%	48.0%	49.3%	1325	—
18		Wind Byakko	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	44.2%	49.4%	46.2%	1348	—
19		Wind Exia	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-1-1	70.0%	42.4%	56.7%	49.2%	1467	↑ top
20		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-1-1	50.0%	49.6%	50.0%	49.8%	1351	—
21		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-2-1	16.7%	39.1%	45.6%	45.4%	1197	↓ low
22		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-1-1	70.0%	68.1%	55.5%	57.3%	1305	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 5 decks · 15.6%
• Wind Seiryuu 4 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 6.2%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 3.1%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 3.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Luxem Zander 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 3.1%