← Rapid Star PTM Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Rapid Star PTM Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Aetherwing | 4 | 20.0% | 16 | 68.8% | 59.0% | 54.1% | 51.3% | 1387 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Seiryuu | 4 | 20.0% | 15 | 53.3% | 52.1% | 52.2% | 52.2% | 1325 | — |
| 3 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 50.0% | 57.4% | 50.9% | 53.8% | 1226 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 53.7% | 50.8% | 51.2% | 1390 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Horse and Taxes | 2 | 10.0% | 7 | 57.1% | 57.7% | 50.7% | 51.9% | 1364 | — |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 3 | 15.0% | 15 | 56.7% | 57.9% | 49.0% | 51.0% | 1292 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Oblation | 2 | 10.0% | 6 | 41.7% | 40.8% | 46.9% | 46.3% | 1385 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Byakko | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 47.8% | 45.9% | 45.3% | 1333 | — |
| 9 | Fire Genbu | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 47.8% | 45.9% | 45.3% | 1333 | — |
| 10 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 47.8% | 45.9% | 45.3% | 1333 | — |
| 11 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 47.8% | 45.9% | 45.3% | 1333 | — |
| 12 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 10.0% | 13 | 11.5% | 26.9% | 43.3% | 45.1% | 1287 | ↓ low |