← Brunei Phantom Monarch Regionals
Water Astra DianaTier 2
at Brunei Phantom Monarch Regionals
decks
1
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
30.3%
avg ELO -10.5 per match
expected value
43.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1119
· median 1119
· range 1119–1119
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1019
Q1 1169
Q3 1309
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aetherwing | 7.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.4% | -2.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
