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Water AetherwingTier 2

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decks
2 (4.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9 3-5-1
overall winrate
38.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.8% avg ELO -4.3 per match
expected value
45.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1170 · median 1170 · range 1119–1222 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1011 Q1 1134 Q3 1283 1425
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Exia 9.8% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 32.2% -17.1
Fire Aggro 7.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.4% +11.8
Fire Slimes 7.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.8% -17.9
Horse and Taxes 7.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.7% +1.0
Water Genbu 7.3% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 7.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.2% -10.9
Fire Crux Mage 4.9% 0
Fire Suited 4.9% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 4.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.5% -12.0
Wind Seiryuu 4.9% 0
Fire Ciel 2.4% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.4% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 2.4% 0
Fire Suzaku 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.1% +11.4
Norm Tera Silvie 2.4% 0
Slimes 2.4% 0
Water Astra Ranger 2.4% 0
Water Slimes 2.4% 0
Wind Merlin 2.4% 0
Wind Neos 2.4% 0
Wind Razorgale 2.4% 0
Wind Umbra Ranger 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.8% +12.5
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Water Aetherwing decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/48108/archetypes/Water Aetherwing