← canyon store champion

Fire ArcaneTier 2

at canyon store champion

decks
1 (4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.2% avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
48.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1364 · median 1364 · range 1364–1364 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1124 Q1 1226 Q3 1388 1550
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Aetherwing 13.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.2% -17.2
Water Fractal 13.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.7% -14.9
Wind Seiryuu 13.6% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.5% +13.7
Fire Crux Merlin 4.5% 0
Fire Oblation 4.5% 0
Fire Slimes 4.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.7% +7.5
Fire Suited 4.5% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 4.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.6% +5.8
Horse and Taxes 4.5% 0
Water Allies 4.5% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 4.5% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 4.5% 0
Wind Umbra Alice 4.5% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/49220/archetypes/Fire Arcane