Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at canyon store champion
decks
1
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-2-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.6%
avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1201
· median 1201
· range 1201–1201
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1124
Q1 1226
Q3 1388
1550
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 13.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 13.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.7 |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Alice | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
