Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at canyon store champion
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-5-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.7%
avg ELO +0.8 per match
expected value
53.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1304
· median 1304
· range 1221–1386
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1124
Q1 1226
Q3 1388
1550
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 13.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +1.9 |
| Water Fractal | 13.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.9% | +15.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.7 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -15.9 |
| Fire Suited | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Alice | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
