Fire SuzakuTier 1
at GAG RDO Store Championship
decks
2
(5.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
9-3-1
overall winrate
73.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.3%
avg ELO +6.0 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1419
· median 1419
· range 1267–1571
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
999
Q1 1234
Q3 1405
1571
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.3% | -22.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.1% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -1.3 |
| Water Allies | 5.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.6% | +5.3 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Alice | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.3% | +22.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
