Water Luxem AssassinTier 2
at GAG RDO Store Championship
decks
2
(5.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
3-4-3
overall winrate
45.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.7%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
47.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1351
· median 1351
· range 1236–1466
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
999
Q1 1234
Q3 1405
1571
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.8% | -1.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 7.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.4% | +11.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.8% | +10.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.8% | -7.0 |
| Water Allies | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Alice | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
