StoneCup -Road to Nationals-

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	4	13.3%	10-9-1	52.5%	51.9%	51.5%	50.7%	1238	↓ low
2		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	3	10.0%	6-7-0	46.2%	49.0%	50.2%	50.0%	1382	↑ top
3		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	3	10.0%	7-5-1	57.7%	49.7%	48.0%	49.4%	1422	↑ top
4		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	6.7%	5-5-0	50.0%	48.4%	50.2%	49.4%	1364	—
5		Water Fractal	Tier 2	2	6.7%	3-6-1	35.0%	47.3%	45.4%	48.8%	1269	—
6		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	6.7%	3-5-2	40.0%	48.9%	50.3%	49.9%	1294	—
7		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	3.3%	4-1-0	80.0%	51.3%	57.5%	50.4%	1560	↑ top
8		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	3.3%	1-4-0	20.0%	45.3%	42.5%	48.1%	1324	—
9		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	3.3%	3-2-0	60.0%	50.5%	51.7%	50.2%	1478	↑ top
10		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.3%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.1%	51.4%	50.2%	1241	↓ low
11		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	3.3%	3-2-0	60.0%	50.2%	55.6%	50.4%	1268	—
12		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	3.3%	2-3-0	40.0%	50.9%	46.7%	49.9%	1234	↓ low
13		Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.3%	2-3-0	40.0%	49.8%	45.5%	49.7%	1292	—
14		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	3.3%	3-2-0	60.0%	49.3%	53.3%	50.0%	1455	↑ top
15		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	3.3%	4-0-1	90.0%	54.9%	57.0%	51.5%	1292	—
16		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	3.3%	1-3-1	30.0%	49.9%	43.3%	49.7%	1096	↓ low
17		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	3.3%	3-1-1	70.0%	51.0%	55.2%	50.3%	1310	—
18		Wind Byakko	Tier 2	1	3.3%	2-3-0	40.0%	51.5%	47.3%	50.5%	1210	↓ low
19		Wind Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	3.3%	1-3-1	30.0%	50.2%	47.1%	50.2%	1095	↓ low
20		Wind Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	3.3%	2-2-1	50.0%	49.8%	53.8%	50.4%	1231	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Razorgale 4 decks · 13.3%
• Water Luxem Assassin 3 decks · 10.0%
• Wind Seiryuu 3 decks · 10.0%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 6.7%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 6.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 6.7%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 3.3%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 3.3%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 3.3%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 3.3%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 3.3%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 3.3%
• Slimes 1 deck · 3.3%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 3.3%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 3.3%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 3.3%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 3.3%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 3.3%
• Wind Crux Merlin 1 deck · 3.3%
• Wind Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 3.3%