← Wild Magic Store - Store Championship - Radiant Origins
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Wild Magic Store - Store Championship - Radiant Origins.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 5.6% | 7 | 85.7% | 68.1% | 58.9% | 56.3% | 1436 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 60.0% | 49.3% | 56.7% | 53.0% | 1345 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 5.6% | 6 | 66.7% | 47.9% | 55.7% | 50.3% | 1504 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 5.6% | 6 | 66.7% | 60.6% | 55.2% | 55.7% | 1266 | — |
| 5 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.3% | 55.0% | 54.3% | 1243 | — |
| 6 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 60.0% | 42.8% | 53.3% | 48.1% | 1532 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 70.0% | 63.5% | 52.9% | 53.7% | 1257 | — |
| 8 | Water Genbu | 1 | 5.6% | 7 | 71.4% | 58.0% | 51.1% | 49.3% | 1421 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Polkhawk | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 40.0% | 54.1% | 50.0% | 52.9% | 1125 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 16.7% | 13 | 38.5% | 44.3% | 48.7% | 49.6% | 1196 | — |
| 11 | Fire Suited | 2 | 11.1% | 8 | 37.5% | 49.7% | 45.2% | 47.5% | 1118 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Exia | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 30.0% | 39.8% | 45.0% | 45.1% | 1152 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 30.0% | 46.8% | 44.3% | 47.4% | 1119 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 5.6% | 4 | 12.5% | 34.7% | 42.8% | 44.7% | 1102 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Luxem Mordred | 1 | 5.6% | 4 | 0.0% | 29.7% | 40.0% | 41.9% | 1055 | ↓ low |