ALC Massachusetts Regionals Presented By Lineage Break
2024-04-20 · 496 Boston Post Rd E, Marlborough, MA 01752, USA · season Alchemical Revolution · Standard
23 decks · 59 matches loaded. View: EV ranking · head-to-head matrix
- Fire Erupting 17.4%
- Fire Luxem Assassin 17.4%
- Fire Umbra Ranger 13.0%
- Wind Allies 13.0%
- Fire Aggro 4.3%
Archetype Breakdown
Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.
| # | Archetype | Tier | Decks | Share | W-L-D | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Fire Erupting
|
Tier 1 | 4 | 12-8-0 | 60.0% | 62.8% | 52.5% | 54.9% | 1316 | ↑ top | ||
| 2 |
Fire Luxem Assassin
|
Tier 2 | 4 | 7-9-2 | 44.4% | 48.1% | 49.0% | 49.3% | 1279 | — | ||
| 3 |
Fire Umbra Ranger
|
Tier 1 | 3 | 7-4-1 | 62.5% | 55.0% | 54.7% | 52.6% | 1261 | — | ||
| 4 |
Wind Allies
|
Tier 2 | 3 | 5-7-0 | 41.7% | 42.2% | 46.2% | 45.0% | 1269 | — | ||
| 5 |
Fire Aggro
|
Tier 1 | 1 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.5% | 53.9% | 53.2% | 1282 | — | ||
| 6 |
Fire Arcane
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 36.1% | 40.0% | 41.6% | 1148 | ↓ low | ||
| 7 |
Fire Crux Mage
|
Tier 1 | 1 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 59.5% | 63.0% | 60.6% | 1422 | ↑ top | ||
| 8 |
Fire Tonoris
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 35.4% | 44.4% | 45.6% | 1078 | ↓ low | ||
| 9 |
Fire Umbra Diana
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 27.2% | 37.0% | 38.3% | 1142 | ↓ low | ||
| 10 |
Water Allies
|
Tier 1 | 1 | 5-0-0 | 100.0% | 68.0% | 63.0% | 58.2% | 1163 | ↓ low | ||
| 11 |
Water Crux Mage
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 47.1% | 44.0% | 45.8% | 1115 | ↓ low | ||
| 12 |
Wind Crux Lorraine
|
Tier 1 | 1 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 44.6% | 51.7% | 46.1% | 1307 | ↑ top | ||
| 13 |
Wind Tera Silvie
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 49.8% | 41.3% | 44.9% | 1121 | ↓ low | ||
Final Placements · 23 players
Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.
| Placement | Player | Record | Deck |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trent | 5-0-0 | Water Allies |
| 2 | MFDoomblade | 4-1-0 | Fire Erupting |
| 3 | Trevor603 | 4-1-0 | Fire Umbra Ranger |
| 4 | Luikazooie | 3-1-1 | Fire Crux Mage |
| 5 | Jujuwu | 3-1-1 | Fire Luxem Assassin |
| 6 | DevinS | 3-1-1 | Fire Umbra Ranger |
| 7 | log | 3-2-0 | Fire Aggro |
| 8 | Johndertale | 3-2-0 | Fire Erupting |
| 9 | RichieSama | 3-2-0 | Fire Erupting |
| 10 | Mordred | 3-2-0 | Wind Crux Lorraine |
| 11 | JCcalonge | 3-2-0 | Wind Allies |
| 12 | Raravin | 2-2-1 | Fire Luxem Assassin |
| 13 | LBSteve | 2-3-0 | Wind Allies |
| 14 | GrandDaddyBeej | 1-3-0 | Wind Allies |
| 15 | SenseiShari | 2-3-0 | Fire Erupting |
| 16 | Yorkospektor | 2-3-0 | Fire Luxem Assassin |
| 17 | JerBear52 | 2-3-0 | Wind Tera Silvie |
| 18 | Imperio | 1-3-0 | Fire Umbra Ranger |
| 19 | NotDJColburn | 2-3-0 | Water Crux Mage |
| 20 | Elise | 0-3-0 | Fire Luxem Assassin |
| 21 | Ouphe | 1-4-0 | Fire Arcane |
| 22 | Treant88 | 1-4-0 | Fire Tonoris |
| 23 | Sheezy | 0-4-0 | Fire Umbra Diana |