Fire ExiaTier 2
at 貓腳印松江店 RDO店冠賽
decks
2
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
8-5-0
overall winrate
61.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.9%
avg ELO +6.2 per match
expected value
52.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1282
· median 1282
· range 1175–1389
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1219
Q3 1383
1591
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.3% | +6.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.7% | +20.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.5% | -5.6 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.0% | +20.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.0% | +20.8 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.6% | -7.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Mordred | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
