Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at 貓腳印松江店 RDO店冠賽
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 44.8% | -3.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 35.9% | -10.6 |
| Water Fractal | 6.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.1% | +5.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 33.5% | -26.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.4% | -25.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 53.4% | +3.3 |
| Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.9% | -4.9 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Mordred | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +17.0 |
| Wind Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 55 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 55 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tempestuous Seraphim | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Noble Dissolution | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tyrannical Denigration | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Numinous Monk | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Angelic Channeling | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Candlelight Hourglass | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Imperial Countermeasure | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Benediction Angel | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Claimed From Beyond | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Four of Spades | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lost Providence | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sasha, Purifying Acolyte | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dissipation | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Votive Runeblade | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sabela, Gossamer Penance | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Genuflecting Execution | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Purifying Thurible | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Aella, Zephyr's Hand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Annul Spell | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Palvor Sword | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rictus Tiding | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rally the Peasants | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vestal Priestess | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Labyrinth, Jeweled Opus | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Imperious Galebind | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Displace | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Retribution | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |